Lions ML -125 and UNDER 46
Big time divisional matchup on Thursday night football. Two teams who sit at 2-1and both look like real contenders to win the division and/or compete for a playoff spot. However I like the Lions in this spot for a number of reasons. While both have solid defenses I love the improvement of Detroits defense. They were able to really give Mahomes some fits in Kansas City and had a great performance last week against Atlanta holding them to six points. It looks like Aaron Jones and Christian Watson are going to be back for Green /Bay but potentially on a pitch count. David Montgomery and Taylor Decker are back playing tonight and should give a big boost to Detroit’s offense. Jordan Love has played great in his debut season as the full-time starter but with what they’re missing on the offensive line and what Detroit is getting back it’s going to be huge for the run game and should be the difference in the ball game. I’ll take the Lions to win the game and the under 46. Defenses seems to always be ahead on Thursdays and primetime unders have been a cash cow yet again. Think there’s value here on both sides.
WKU -6 and UNDER 60.5
We’re backing the Hilltoppers baby! They have a very experienced QB here in Austin Reed who I feel confident backing at home laying 7 or less against a lackluster Middle Tennessee State team. I think the passing attack of WKU is gonna be too much for MTSU to handle and WKU’s defense isn’t great by any means but it’s numbers are slightly skewed in a small sample size after getting torched by Ohio State. Gimme WKU and the under here.
Temple +3.5 and OVER 55
These are two teams that have had to play tough early schedules but I love the Owls here catching 3 and the hook on the road. There’s many teams around the country that I fear fading at home but Tulsa ain’t one of them. Don’t expect a ruckus crowd in Tulsa tonight. Temple loves to throw the ball and I think they’ve found a young but competent QB in EJ Warner (son of Kurt Warner) who keeps getting improving every time he trots out there. I think this is a coin flip game and I’ll gladly the the 3.5 with Temple. On the other hand both these defenses are rated very poorly on defense giving up a ton of points and yards. I think both offenses should have success here and get this moderately high total over the number.
Jacksonville State -6.5
As scrappy as Same Houston has been early this year they have one of the worst offenses I’ve seen in college football. Absolutely dreadful and haven’t been able to move the ball much at all in all three of their games. They’ve scored a combined 10 points in three games although their defense was able to hang tough enough to keep in their first two games, last week against Houston it seemed to finally catch up to them. You can only lean on your defense so much before the levy breaks and everything comes crashing down. Jacksonville State has enough in the run game to lean on SHSU and wear them out overtime. The run game has also been where Same Houston has been most exploitable. Give me the Jaguars laying 7 or less.