Advertisement

Amari Cooper Is Going To Have A Monster Year In Cleveland

Scott Taetsch. Getty Images.

Amari Cooper is going into his second season with the Browns and I think he's going to have a big year. Looking at all the off-season props in the Barstool Sportsbook, this one stood out to me. Amari Cooper's line was 925.5 yards. I did a bunch of research and this is why I like the play:

Advertisement

  • He’s coming off a 132 target, 78 catch,  1,160 yard campaign with Jacoby Brissett and Deshaun Watson’s partially suspended season, so this line feels a bit low.
  • Watson will now have a full off-season to train with the team and build a chemistry with Cooper
  • Digging into Watson’s numbers last season, he averaged a career low 6.5 yards per attempt. With Houston, Watson was a big deep ball guy that would push the ball down the field averaging 8.6 yards per attempt including a league leading 8.9 in 2020.
  • Looking at previous Browns QBs under Head Coach Kevin Stefanski, both were much higher than Watson last year: Jacoby Brissett (7.1 YPA) and Baker Mayfield (7.7 YPA)
  • Cooper also is an underrated deep threat and is coming off a season in which he finished with a career best 13.3 averaged depth of target and averaged 14.9 yards per reception, the 2nd best of his career.
  • In Cooper’s six games with Watson, he had a catch of 20 yards or more in his last five
  • He also got a whopping 33.4% of Watson’s passing yards in that time
  • Deshaun Watson’s yardage line is 3,600 yards with a lot more juice on the over. If Cooper’s yardage percentage holds that’ll equate to 1,200 yards which tells me this line is low.
  • The Browns also go from the 4th hardest schedule against the pass to the 15th hardest per Sharp Football
  • I’m expecting better accuracy from Watson and more deep balls for his top target, Cooper.

Cooper's second season with a team has also been his best as he's averaging 1,171 in his second season with his two former teams (Raiders and Cowboys). He looks good in camp so far too.

With that improved chemistry and continued playmaking down the field, I LOVE this play. Bet it here: