14-25-2 (-10.1 units)
Oh shit, are we back? We might be back. I can't call it a comeback (yet), but I can surely call it a winning streak. The Giants/Reds game got delayed in the 8th inning in a 2-2. That score literally needs to be settled, but we nailed our other picks. Chris Taylor's go-ahead grand slam in Baltimore got us over the 9.5 run threshold, and the Rangers came back to beat the Tampa Bay Rays on a walk-off wild pitch. Everything is coming up Castellani! Okay, let's not get ahead of ourselves. I still have a big hole to dig myself out of. With that said, yesterday was all about going with the gut. I stayed off of stathead and baseball reference for once in my life and bet from the heart. The results have been good so far. I hope the trend continues. Let's look at today's picks.
Mariners -1.5 (+165) against the Twins
This one makes so much sense to me. I'm a Tigers fan. The Tigers are not a good baseball team, yet they're close enough to first place for me to have some hope. If the Minnesota Twins were a real organization, they would've run away with this division by now. Every time I give up on the dream, the Twins lose three in a row. I see that trend continuing here. Outside of the emotion I have to the pick (I want my Tigers to get hot), this is not a good matchup for Minnesota. The Twins have a solid pitching staff, but I've seen their offense get shut down time and time again by teams with good staffs. The Mariners have the third-best ERA in all of baseball this season, and they're facing an offense that has struggled to stay consistent. Last night was an excellent opportunity for them. They scored many runs and had their ace on the mound in Sonny Gray. They still lost. I suspect that'll happen again tonight.
Rangers -1.5 (+150) against the Rays
I'm not high on Tampa right now. I feel like I should be. They have the best record in the American League, and yet I can't shake the feeling that they're trending downward. With each passing series against great teams, I feel like their flaws become more and more apparent. Last night Shane McClanahan returned to the mound for them. That was a welcome sight, but the Rays blew an early 2-0 and got walked off. Tonight they have Taj Bradley going, who has shown some promise in his rookie season, but he's gotten shelled in each of his last three starts. Nathan Eovaldi is going for the Rangers. He's having the best season of his career, and while he hasn't been as good lately, he's still an All-Star pitcher going up against one of his former teams. I also really like the value here at +150. With Nasty Nate on the mound, I figured the Rangers would be heavier favorites.
Blue Jays ML (+110) against the Padres
If I get this one, I'll know I'm hot. I am doing something 99% of baseball fans would tell me not to do. I am putting my faith in 2023 Alek Manoah. I was at Manoah's first start back when he pitched against my Tigers. The final line was good. He pitched six innings and gave up one run, but he got away with a few cookies. I still like him a lot as a pitcher. It may not be in 2023, but he'll revert back to the pitcher he was a season ago. The Jays have been playing great baseball out of the break, while the Padres have not. That's the big reason why I'm going with Toronto here. I have no faith in the friars. They should bring back those "Slam Diego" shirts because this team's playoff chances have been slammed shut (waka waka). They just give off bad vibes. You have an underdog that's trending upward and a favorite that's trending downward. Give me the Jays tonight.