Katie Stats' Week 4 Prep Sheet And See You In Knoxville

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Stats time. If you see me in Knoxville in those checkered overalls, mind ya business. When else do you get a chance to wear them? If you're in Knoxville, but not at The Hill at 1:30pm, you're dead to me. It is the Barstool CFB Show, plus Macrodosing, plus Will Compton. 

Why would you miss it? David Blattman says "It is going to be fun," and that is a direct quote. Anyway, stat time:

My card will be on my twitter today.

Alabama

• Vs. Vanderbilt, under is 5-1 in L6.

• As a 30+ point home favorite against unranked, 8-1 ATS in L9.

App State

• 1H vs. Sun Belt, 0-6 ATS in L6, and 1-8 in L9.

Arizona State

• Vs Utah, last year lost SU 35-21 at home.

• Under is 5-0-1 in L6 games. 

Arkansas

• Neutral site vs. Texas A&M. 4-0 ATS in L4 meetings. 

• Against ranked teams, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

• Last year’s win (20-10) broke a 9 year losing streak vs. Texas A&M.

• At neutral sites, under is 4-0, and 4-0 ATS in L4. 

Auburn

• Vs. SEC, under is 7-2 in L9, and 12-3 in L15. 

• When a single digit favorite, under is 7-1 in L8.

• 0-4 ATS in L4, and 1-7 ATS in L8.

• If Bryan Harsin loses this game, is he fired?

• QB TJ Finley is out on Saturday. Calzada/Robby Ashford time.

Baylor

• Under is 9-1 in L10 games.

• As of Monday, +2 to unranked Iowa State.

• As away, under is 7-1 in L8. As away dog, under is 5-0 in L5. 

• Vs Big 12 teams, under is 4-0.

• Vs Iowa State, 4-0 ATS in L4, and were a dog all 4 times.

Boston College

• 0-5 ATS in L5 games. Under is 9-2 in L11. 

• As away underdog, under is 4-0 in L4.

• As a dog, 7-0 in L7, and 1-5 ATS in L6. 

• Vs. ACC, under is 8-1 in L9.

• 130th in rushing offense, 48 ypg. 

Buffalo

• Vs. MAC, 1-6 ATS in L7. 

BYU

• After a loss, 1-6 ATS in L7. 

Cal

• As a home favorite, under is 9-2 in L11. 

Central Michigan

• 7-1 ATS in L8 games.

Cincinnati

• At home, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

Clemson

• 7-0 SU vs Wake Forest.

Duke

• Vs. Kansas, SU won in 2021, 52-33 at home.

• As away, under is 5-1 in L6.

Florida

• Vs. Tennessee, under is 3-0 in L3. Went under by 11,12.5, 12.5.

• Vs. Tennessee, 5-0 SU in L5. 

• In road games, 0-8 ATS in L8. Were favored in all. First time being away dog since 2019.

• Vs. sec, 0-5 ATS in L5 games. Remember that last year’s team gave up. (arguably) 

• Anthony Richardson still hasn’t thrown a TD pass yet this season. 

FSU

• Under is 6-1 in L7 games. 

• Looks like Jordan Travis is practicing normally, but no official word on his status (as of Weds)

Georgia

• Under is 5-0 in L5.

• Allowing 3.3 ppg.  

Indiana

• 1-6 ATS in L7. 

• As away, 1-5 ATS in L6. 

• As a 14+ point dog, over is 5-1 in L6. 

• Vs non-con, 0-4 ATS in L4, and the over is 5-0 in L5. 

Iowa

• Under is 4-0 in L4 games. 

• Vs B1G, over is 4-0 in L4. 

• Is allowing 4.3 ppg. 118th in rushing offense, 92.33 ypg. 

Iowa State

• Against ranked team, under is 8-0 in L8, and 10-1 in L11. Also against ranked, 1-5 ATS in L6. 

• When favored over ranked team, under is 5-0 in L5. 

• In +/-3 games, under is 8-0 in L8. (written when iowa state was -2)

• Vs Baylor, 0-4 ATS in L4 meetings, were favored in all 4. 

• At home vs. B12, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

Kansas

• First time being favored over a P5 since 2009.

• Vs. Duke, SU lost in 2021, 52-33 at Duke.

• 6-0 ATS in L6. Over is 4-0 in L4. 

Kansas State

• Vs. Oklahoma, over is 4-0-1 in L5 meetings. OU won 37-31 last year at KSU. In 2019 and 2020, OU was favored by 21+ and lost both.

• Under is 5-1 in L6 games, 8-2 in L10.

• As a dog, over is 6-1 in L7.

• When a double digit dog, 6-1 ATS in L7. Goes back to 2018.

Kent State

• Vs ranked teams, under is 4-0.

Kentucky

• At home against non-con, 8-0 ATS in L8.

• As a home favorite, 7-1 ATS in L8. 

• 5-1 ATS in L6 games. Under is 4-0 in L4 games. 

• Are at Ole Miss next week. 

Maryland

• 5-0 ATS in L5 games. 

• As a dog, 0-6 ATS in L6. 

• As away dog, 1-5 ATS in L6, and under is 6-1 in L7. 

• Vs. Michigan, 0-6 ATS in L6 meetings.

• Against ranked team, 0-10 ATS and L10.

Miami

• After a loss, 4-0 ATS in L4, and over is 6-1 in L7.

• Against non-con, 1-9 ATS in L10.

Michigan

• Vs Big 10, 5-0 ATS in L5, and 8-1 ATS in L9.

• 1H vs big 10, under is 5-0 in L5, and 7-1 in L8.

• Vs. Maryland, 6-0 ATS in L6 meetings.

• Allowing 5.7 ppg.

Michigan State

• 1H vs. B10, over is 5-0 in L5.

• At a home dog, over is 4-0 in L4.

Minnesota

• Top receiver Chris Autman-Bell is out for the season.

• As away team vs. B10, 6-1 ATS in L7.

• As away team, 7-0-1 ATS in L8. 

• As away favorite, over is 10-1 in L11. Does go back to 2015. 

• Allowing 5.7 ppg. 

Missouri

• On the road, 1-6 ATS in L7, and 2-14 ATS in L16. 

• As an away dog, 1-6 ATS in L7, and under is 8-1 in L9.

NC State

• Play at Clemson next week.

North Carolina

• At home, 1-4 ATS in L5. 

• In +/- 3 point spread games, over is 6-0 in L6. 

• Coming off of a bye week, 0-5 ATS in L5. 

• Allowing 37.7 ppg.

Northern Illinois

• Over is 4-0 in L4 games, and 6-1 in L7 games.

• Vs ranked teams, over is 4-0.

Notre Dame

• As away team, 6-1 ATS in L7.

Ohio State

• Vs Big 10, over is 8-1-1 in L10

• Vs. Wisconsin, under is 3-0 in L3.  

• Vs. Wisconsin at home, 5-0-1 ATS in L6 meetings. 

• Treveyon Henderson is “expected to play” as of Wednesday. 

Oklahoma

• Vs. Kansas State, over is 4-0-1 in L5 meetings. OU won 37-31 last year at KSU.

• In 2019 and 2020, OU was favored by 21+ and lost both.

Ole Miss

• Under is 10-1 in L11 games. Under is 7-0 after an ATS win.

• Kentucky comes to town next week.

• Allowing 4.3 ppg. 

Oregon

• 1H vs P12, under is 5-0 in L5. All from 2021.

• Vs. Wazzu, 3-0 SU in L3. Were 2-0 ATS in L2, but 0-10 ATS in previous 10. (so 2-10 ATS in L12.) L3 went over. 

Oregon State

• Won last year, 45-27 at USC. (was their 2nd game without Clay Helton). Under is 4-0 in L4 meetings at Oregon State.

• 1H vs P12, under is 4-0 in L4.

• Be careful with playing transitive football but USC played Fresno last week, though Jake Haener was injured, won 45-17. Oregon State played them in week 2 and won 35-32.

• At home, 7-0 ATS in L7, and under is 5-1 in L6.

• In September, 6-0 ATS in L6. 

Penn State

• 3-0 ATS this season.

• Vs the MAC, 5-0 ATS in L5. 

• As a favorite in non-con, 7-1 ATS in L8.

• Against unranked teams, 5-0 ATS in L5. 

Pittsburgh

• Under is 5-1 in L6 games.

Rutgers

• At home against B10, 1-8 ATS in L9.

• Vs B10, under is 5-1 in L6. 

• 0-5 ATS vs teams with winning records. 

• 2nd nationally in rushing defense, allowing 32.33 ypg. 

SMU

• Beat TCU in 2021 and 2019, covered both. In the matchup, the road team is 7-0 ATS in L7 meetings.

• First time favored (-1.5), in the matchup, since 1998.

Stanford

• Vs. Washington, lost 20-13 last year.

• Coming off of bye week.

• 0-9 ATS in L9 games. 

• Vs. P12, 0-7 ATS in L7.

Syracuse

• At home, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

• As a favorite, 9-1-1 ATS in L11.

• On Friday games, under is 5-0 in L5. 

TCU

• QB Chandler Morris is out again. QB Max Duggan will start. 

• Coming off of a bye week.

Tennessee

• Vs. Florida, under is 3-0 in L3. Went under by 11,12.5, 12.5.

• Vs. Florida, 0-5 SU in L5, 1-16 SU in L17.

• Vs. SEC, over is 6-1 in L7. 

• Over is 8-1 in L9 games. 

• When favored over ranked teams, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

• First time favored at home over ranked team since 2016. 

Texas

• Vs. Texas Tech, over is 4-0.

• 4-0 ATS in L4 games.

• Vs. Big 12, under is 5-1 in L6.

• Quinn Ewers is reported to be practicing.

Texas A&M

• Neutral site vs. Arkansas, not home. 0-4 ATS in L4 meetings. 

• Favored over ranked teams, under is 5-1 in L6. 

• Last year’s loss (20-10) broke a 9 year winning streak vs. Arkansas.

• In september, under is 9-0 in L9.

Texas Tech

• Vs. texas, over is 4-0.

• After a loss, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

• Still no QB Tyler Shough, should be back October 8th, at latest Oct. 22nd.

Tulane

• Allows 6.7 ppg, 6th nationally. 

Tulsa

• As a dog, 9-1 ATS in L10.

• As an away dog, 7-0 ATS in L7.

• Against ranked teams, 11-0 ATS in L11.

Vanderbilt

• Vs SEC, 4-0 ATS in L4, and 5-1 ATS in L6. 

• Vs. Alabama, under is 5-1 in L6. 

• Over is 5-0 in L5 games. 

 Virginia

• 0-3 ATS this year, on a 1-6 ATS run. 

• Under is 4-0 in L4 games. 

Washington 

• Vs. Stanford, won 20-13 last year. 

• At home, over is 5-0 in L5. 

• Vs. P12, 2-9 ATS in L11. One cover was Stanford.

• 1H, vs P12, under is 7-1 in L8.

Washington State

• Vs. P12, over is 5-0 in L5, and 7-1 ATS in L8.

• Vs. Oregon, 0-3 SU in L3. Were 0-2 ATS in L2, but 10-0 ATS in previous 10. (so 10-2 ATS in L12.) L3 went over. 

• At home, 5-1 ATS in l6. 

Wisconsin

• Vs. Ohio State, under is 3-0 in L3

• At ohio state, 0-5-1 ATS in L6 meetings.  

Wyoming

• As a dog, 5-1 ATS in L6. 

UCLA

• 1H vs P12, over is 5-0.

• As away, 6-1 ATS in L7. 

USC

• Be careful with playing transitive football but played Fresno last week, though Jake Haener was injured, won 45-17. Oregon played them in week 2 and won 35-32.

• As an away favorite, 6-1 ATS in L7. 

• Lost to Oregon State 45-27 last year. Under is 4-0 in L4 meetings at Oregon State.

Utah

• Vs Arizona State, last year won SU 35-21 at home.

• As away team, over is 6-0 in L6. 

• As away favorite, 1-5 ATS in L6, and over is 5-0 in L5. 

UTEP

• On Fridays, 1-8 ATS in L9, and over is 4-0 in L4. 

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