Lions WR Amon-Ra St. Brown has been setting the NFL on fire in his second season posting 248 total yards and 3 TDs through just two games. That was certainly unexpected after being selected in the 4th Round (112th overall) last year out of USC. In fact, 16 Receivers were taken ahead of him in the 2021 Draft, something that St. Brown doesn't forget. One of those Receivers was Dyami Brown out of North Carolina. He went to the Washington Commanders, the Lions opponent on Sunday. In that game, Brown played 1 snap, while St. Brown put up 9 catches for 114 yards and 2 TDs and added 68 rushing yards on top of it. He was asked about his performance and went out of his way to mention that Brown was on the other sideline.
This is the type of energy I LOVE out of any player. This is Tom Brady stuff! And as a guy who loves to bet props on the Barstool Sportsbook, I decided to look into this a bit further and see how he has already performed against Wide Receivers drafted ahead of him after he broke out last year:
2021 Week 15 vs. Arizona (Rondale Moore - 2nd Round, 59th overall)
11 targets 8 catches 90 yards 1 TD, 1 carry 5 yards rushing
2021 Week 17 @ Seattle (D'Wayne Eskridge, 2nd Round, 56th overall)
11 targets 8 catches 111 yards 1 TD, 2 carries 23 rushing yards
2021 Week 18 vs. Green Bay (Amari Rodgers, 3rd Round, 85th overall)
10 targets 8 catches 109 yards 1 TD, 1 carry 12 yards rushing
2022 Week 1 vs. Philadelphia (DeVonta Smith, 1st Round, 10th overall)
12 targets 8 catches 64 yards 1 TD
2022 Week 2 vs. Washington (Dyami Brown, 3rd Round, 82nd overall)
12 targets 9 catches 116 yards 2 TDs, 2 carries 68 yards rushing
Now this theory may have legs! I've been banging the drum for Amon-Ra St. Brown all summer. He started off slow, but once he broke out in Week 13 of last year, he was super consistent. So much so that I launched St. Brown up my rankings as high as WR11 (full disclosure, he finished the off-season as my fantasy WR12 heading into this year), vs. his average draft position was WR33! Quite a leap I took with him, but I saw one of the most consistent players out there and his team knew the Lions would be chucking the ball a lot, so it was a great match.
Victory lap aside, let's see who the Sun God faces the rest of this season vs. a WR drafted ahead of him as he'll likely have that extra motivation on those days:
Week 4 vs. Seattle (D'Wayne Eskridge, 2nd Round, 56th overall)
Big swing and a miss by Seattle, but that's John Schneider for you. Eskridge was brought into be a speedster and stretch the field. He's got 2 catches for 6 yards so far this season. I'm sure St. Brown will be ready to show Seattle they made a mistake!
Week 8 vs. Miami (Jaylen Waddle, 1st Round, 6th overall)
This was a surprise pick at #6, but so far I think Miami is pretty happy with their investment. Waddle has 15 catches for 240 yards and 3 TDs on the season. But will St. Brown want to show that he is the best Receiver in the class? He may draw elite CB Xavien Howard though…
Week 9 vs. Green Bay (Amari Rodgers, 3rd Round, 85th overall)
Green Bay's other A. Rodgers hasn't caught a pass this season. Seeing as he's in the same division, I'm sure this will go well to the Pack. Will top notch CB Jaire Alexander travel with St. Brown?
Week 11 @ New York Giants (Kadarius Toney, 1st Round, 20th overall)
Another surprise pick from the 2021 class. On a team that desperately needs WR help, Tony has 2 catches for 0 yards on the season so far. The torch will be lit for this one.
Week 15 @ New York Jets (Elijah Moore, 2nd Round, 34th overall)
Moore was touted the top slot WR in the class and got picked very high in Round 2 because of it. He has been good so far, but 8 catches for 90 yards is no Sun God numbers.
Week 16 @ Carolina (Terrace Marshall Jr., 2nd Round, 59th overall)
Marshall made his 2022 season debut in Week 2 and played 6 snaps with nothing noteworthy happening in that time. This is most people's fantasy football semi-finals. Buckle up for this game.
Week 18 @ Green Bay (Amari Rodgers, 3rd Round, 85th overall)
This is when most people's fantasy season is over and it's a dead week due to a lot of backups playing. You may want to cool on this depending on where both teams are. But good to note.
Based on those quotes and all this data, I think it'd be a good idea to circle those dates this season and keep and eye on the Sun God's props on the Barstool Sportsbook during those games like me.
And if you have any fantasy questions, tune into Dear Mr. Fantasy every Sunday at 11:30am eastern/8:30am pacific on the Barstool Sportsbook YouTube and we'll help you through those last minute tough lineup decisions.