So the way the story goes, Case Keenum was signed by the Broncos in 2018 to a 2-year, $36 million deal. He started all 16 games in his first year, throwing for 3,900 yards on 62% completions with 18 touchdowns and 15 picks. The Broncos finished 6-10, and I would have to imagine Keenum thought he was coming back for Year 2.
HOWEVER, John Elway decided to trade for the illustrious Joe Flacco that offseason, and in turn sent Case Keenum to Washington for a 6th round pick. Oh, and the Broncos tossed in a 7th round pick, meaning the Broncos gave Keenum and his contract away to be able to pick in the 6th round instead of the 7th. Shows you how much everyone thought of him...
After 8 starts in Washington, in which he went 1-7, the Browns signed him to a 3-year, $18 contract to be Bakers backup in case anything bad happened and we needed a competent quarterback to lead a talented roster. Which brings us tonight:
OH BABY! This checks every box of the Revenge Game list. Unfortunately, the only problem is that the Browns are literally a skeleton of themselves tonight. Nick Chubb = OUT. Kareem Hunt = OUT. Odell Beckham = QUESTIONABLE. Both Offensive Tackles = QUESTIONABLE. At least Jarvis Landry was activated off the IR this afternoon, but still, we are beat the hell up. Case is going to need more than a little added motivation to beat his former team to perform well tonight.
BUT, a Revenge Game is a Revenge Game. And it's shown to be profitable this year in every single instance I've blogged about. Sam Darnold vs. the Jets. Andy Dalton vs. the Bears. Tom Brady vs. the Patriots. So let's ride.
The Broncos come into the game ranked 11th in pass defense, giving up 229.2 yards per game through the air. A pretty good pass defense, but still higher than the total.
The Browns rank 26th in the league with 227.8 yards per game. Not a great pass offense, but still higher than the total.
And I know what you're thinking, you can't just plug Case into the lineup and think the average means anything. I disagree. You watched the Browns this year? If Baker could've hit the broad side of a barn these last couple weeks, we'd throw for 275 a game easy. AND if we weren't so damn good running the football, we'd have to throw a little more.
With Chubb and Hunt out, needed Case Keenum to throw for 216 yards is simply a good bet.
It is so obvious that you should take the Broncos tonight that I think you have to take the Browns. In what world is this team giving points tonight? But we are. Plus, even without our big name players, the Browns are still in a must win situation. We cannot fall to 3-4 when we're looking up at the 5-1 Ravens. I expect the home crowd, Myles Garrett, and Case Keenum to will this team to victory tonight.
ALL I'M SAYING IS: No Nick Chubb…..no Kareem Hunt….a beat up offensive line……
When the Browns get down to the goal line (God willing), are they really going to turn around and hand it off to Demetric Felton or D'Ernest Johnson? Ehhh. I could absolutely see Case Keenum sneaking one in, or even running one in on a broken play. And they're giving 10/1 odds on it. NOT BAD VALUE!
Case Keenum Revenge Game Bets:
Case Keenum Over 215.5 Yards
Case Keenum Any Time TD Scorer