Stats And Trends For The NFL Divisional Round Playoffs
Welcome back to the playoff stat lab. Here are the stats and trends I compiled for Advisors this week.
Lines courtesy of the Barstool Sportsbook, subject to change from the time I compiled this.
Los Angeles Rams (11-6, 10-7 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (13-3, 10-6 ATS)
Saturday 4:35 PM on FOX
GB -6.5
T 45.5
There are a few reasons you may want to look at the over here, which is the lowest total of the weekend.
-The over is 9-2 in the Packers last 11 January games, has hit 7 times in a row. They have gone over in 5 straight playoff games
-Playoff games at Lambeau average 50 PPG since 2004.
-The over is also 7-1 in Rams last 8 as an underdog.
And if you're looking for a side, here's one stat to keep in mind.
-Rodgers is 10-5-1 ATS with 12 or more days of rest
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Baltimore Ravens (12-5, 11-6 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (14-3, 11-6 ATS)
Saturday 8:15 PM on NBC
BUF -3
T 50
There are a ton of trends that support the Ravens here. They thrive as both underdogs and the road team.
-The Ravens are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 as an underdog
-Jon Harbaugh is 10-3 ATS on the road in his playoff career, covering 7 straight
-Harbaugh is 8-3 ATS as an underdog in the playoffs
Cleveland Browns (12-5, 7-10 ATS) @ Kansas City Chiefs (14-2, 7-9 ATS)
Sunday 3:05 PM on CBS
KC -10
T 57.5
#1 seeds typically struggle in the Divisional Round of the playoffs, playing their first game off of a bye. These stats can apply to the Packers as well obviously.
-Since 2004, Divisional Round underdogs are 22-11-1 ATS against #1 seeds
-#1 seeds are just 9-17-2 ATS in the NFL's divisional round since 2007.
-Chiefs are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 as more than a touchdown favorite
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (12-5, 9-8 ATS) @ New Orleans Saints (13-4, 10-7 ATS)
6:40 PM on FOX
NO -3
T 51.5
There's a saying out there that says, "It's hard to beat a team 3 times." But that actually isn't true when you look at the history.
-When a team faces a team in the playoffs that it beat twice in the regular season. In the last 13 instances, they are 10-3 SU, 8-5 ATS, 6-0 ATS if they are 5 point favorites or less
-The under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 playoff home games
-The under is 4-0 in Saints last 4 playoff games overall
If you missed Advisors this week, catch up here before kickoff.