Tommy Stats NFL Week 12: When Is The Last Time Aaron Rodgers Didn't Cover Three Straight Games?

Welcome back to the lab. Every Sunday morning during this NFL season, I'll be blogging the stats and trends that I presented on Barstool Sports Advisors, plus some additional ones that I didn't get to use. These stats are a mixture of ones I've found across various websites, and also some just through my own research from pouring through the data. 

Below is my entire cheat sheet I use for Advisors each week. Lines courtesy of the Barstool Sportsbook, subject to change from the time I compiled this. 

Los Angeles Chargers (3-7, 4-5-1 ATS) @ Buffalo Bills (7-3, 5-5 ATS)

1:00 PM on CBS

BUF -4

T 51

Both these teams score a lot, more than what the total suggests. 

-The over is 4-0 in Herbert’s 4 road starts (59 PPG)

-The over is 4-1 in Bill’s 5 home games (55 PPG)

-Also, the whole "flying west to east" thing doesn't seem to bother the Chargers. In that spot, they're 7-2 ATS since the start of the 2018 season (6-3 SU). 

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Tennessee Titans (7-3, 4-6 ATS) @ Indianapolis Colts (7-3, 6-4 ATS)

1:00 PM on CBS

IND -3

T 51

Personally, I still refuse to believe the Colts are that good, and it costs me every single week. But this isn't about my opinions. This is about the numbers. And the numbers like the Colts. 

-Colts have covered 4 of the last 5 in Indianapolis against the Titans

-Colts are 8-3 ATS in last 11 against AFC South

-The Colts are 14-5 ATS in last 19 facing winning teams 

Kansas City Chiefs (9-1, 6-4 ATS) @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (7-4, 5-6 ATS)

4:25 PM on CBS

KC -3.5

T 56

You don't get rich betting against the Chiefs. 

-Mahomes is 29-15-2 ATS in his career, 15-6-1 on the road

-The Chiefs are 5-1 ATS in last 6 after not covering

-The Chiefs have won 7 straight on the road against teams with winning records

Chicago Bears (5-5, 5-5 ATS) @ Green Bay Packers (7-3, 6-4 ATS)

8:20 PM on NBC

GB 8.5

T 44

The Packers haven't covered in back-to-back games. Will they go 3 straight? Probably not. 

-The last time Aaron Rodgers went 3 straight games without covering was 2016 (56 straight games)

-At home against division opponents, Rodgers is 22-12 ATS for his career. 

And don't worry about the Bears having extra time to prep. 

-Nagy is 0-2 ATS off a bye

If you missed this week's Advisors, make sure to catch up here to get all your winners before kickoff.