Okay so I pretty much gave everybody the Kentucky Derby on a silver platter. My good friend Gary (Stevens) told me what would happen before the race and it played out exactly like he said it would. Now before I give you my picks I’m going to say the same thing I said before the Derby. Clearly Pharoah is the horse to beat. So if betting on 4/5 shots get your rocks off knock yourself out. I don’t. I need to live. Therefore I needed to look elsewhere.
I think Firing Line is an overlay at 4-1 considering the differing post positions so if you want to bet on him I won’t talk you out of it. I think he could easily win. But Mr. Z and his 20-1 morning line has captured my attention. This is a horse who lost a 3 way photo to Firing Line and Dortmund and showed no back down on that day. He set the pace and ran his guts out in defeat. Here it is.
After that he got absolutely squashed by Pharoah in the Alabama. Then he got demolished in the Kentucky Derby but he had a horrible trip. It may be a stretch but I’m going to throw both those races out. My close personal friend D Wayne (Lukas) has said he’s got Mr. Z as primed as he’s ever been. He even forced the horse to be sold to Calumet Farms from Zayad stables just so he could run him in the Preakness. Corey Nakatani is back aboard who rode him in the Los Al race. I just think Mr. Z gets the lead and battles all the way to the end again today. At 20-1 that’s all you can really ask for. So I’ll play Mr. Z across the board and in all my exotics with Pharaoh and Firing Line.
The Pick – Mr. Z