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Week 1 College Football Gambling Primer Presented By PointsBet: Thursday Night Action + Futures

We are back for a third season. I’m very excited. I don’t love the games tonight, but I do have two plays below.

It’s time for a BIG season. There’s more gamblers than ever here and I couldn’t be happier. However, here’s a little guarantee: I’ll have the best record percentage-wise this season and most units gained in college football. Let’s get into it.

Season Record: 2-1, +0.5 units

2017-2018: 188-150-2 (55.6%), +23 units

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We talked about it earlier in the week, but Texas State had the greatest pump-up speech of all time this week from a famous alum:

This solidified me taking Texas State plus the points. I probably would’ve taken it either way. They are bringing back the third most returning production in the country. The Bobcats are in year 2 of the air raid system under former WVU OC Jake Spavital. Texas A&M is more focused on Clemson in Week 2 than this game too. I could see starters pulled early. Give me the Bobcats.

Pick: Texas State +33.5 (-105)

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Remember last year when Michigan State went to Tempe? They scored 3 points in the first half. Michigan State cited the extreme heat. They weren’t ready for the Tempe nights. The weather the past week or two in Kent State has been around 70 degrees. Tonight in Tempe? An EXCESSIVE HEAT WARNING has been issued. These guys are going to be gassed. ASU is debuting a new QB and losing N’Keal Harris as well. Eno Benjamin does return though and that means the clock will be running as he puts up 200+ yards on the ground. Give me the under.

Pick: Under 61.5

Win Totals:

Utah over 9 (-150): I expect a big year for Kyle Whittingham and the Utah Utes. A favorable schedule thanks to Utah’s division in the Pac 12 being down (USC, UCLA,

Arkansas under 5 (+100): I don’t see them winning more than 2 games in the SEC. I think it’s another 0-8 SEC run for Chad Morris thanks to their easiest game is @ Ole Miss. Worst case scenario is a push.

UConn under 2.5 (-105): Until proven different, I don’t think this UConn team is worth a damn. Give me the under 2.5, I could see them easily going 1-11.

Georgia over 10.5 (-150): Could they lose to Notre Dame and Florida? Yes, but I don’t see it.

Kansas under 3 (+100): Are we sure they beat Indiana State? Let’s say they do and the same for Coastal Carolina. After that, can they beat any of the Big 12 + Boston College? Maybe one? Push is worst-case scenario.

Rice under 2.5 (-220) Going to be the worst team in America. The two games they can win are on the road. This is my favorite play. Even with the juice.

South Alabama under 2.5 (+100):  Possibly the second-worst team in America. I see 2 wins at most.

Clemson over 11.5 (-120): 12-0.

Missouri over 8 (-155): I think they go into Georgia 8-0 on 11/9. Then they have to win one game against Georgia, Tennessee, Florida, or Arkansas? Give me it!!!

Rutgers under 3 (-110): Another tough year in Piscataway is coming. Chris Ash is first CFB coach fired. Greg Schiano is hired by November.

Middle Tennessee under 5.5 (-140)

Mississippi State over 7.5 (-130): I think this is the most underrated team in college football. I’m putting Alabama on upset alert when they go to Stark Vegas in November.

Futures:

Michigan 12-1: This is the year for Harbaugh. Gattis changes the offense and Michigan goes to Indianapolis before the CFP.

Georgia 7-1: They are my pick to win the national championship. 7-1 presents great value at this time of the year. Jake Fromm, D’Andre Swift and the best offensive line in the country will power this team to their first victory over Alabama in years.

Trevor Lawrence +250 to win Heisman: 

FIU +450 to win C-USA

Ohio +250 to win MAC