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Mike Florio Says There Is a 94.9% Chance That Deshaun Watson Gets Traded Before Next Week’s Deadline

On today's Pardon My Take... MIKE FLORIO! The longtime recurring guest of the show joined Mr. Cat and Mr. Commenter once again today to discuss the legal side of Tom Brady's 600th touchdown ball. Florio did tons of research on who actually owns the ball once it went into the stands, and got into a little, friendly debate with Billy Football trying to figure it out. The guys also asked Florio for an update with the Deshaun Watson rumors. Is he actually going to get traded? Florio believes so. Take a look:

Mr. Cat: Percentage chance Deshaun Watson is traded in the next whatever, seven days, 10 days...

Mike Florio: 95. Hey listen, 95 is the kiss of death, I should say 94.9, because I've learned any time anybody says there's a 95 percent chance of something happening, it never happens. So, 94.9% chance, Miami 75, Carolina 25, no, let me go Carolina 24, one percent, some crazy wild card team, but Miami is the favorite, and it's up to Deshaun, he's got the no-trade clause. He will choose his next destination, Miami first, then Carolina. The chances of him being with the Texans next Tuesday after the trade deadline very, very, very, very small.

Mr. Cat: Wow, okay.

Mr. Commenter: So, does Roger Goodell go God mode and put him on the exempt list and say, "Guess what, you're not playing," after he gets traded?

Mike Florio: He makes no decisions until he has to. And they haven't made a decision, because he's not playing now. Once he's traded, they'll look at the circumstances that will exist when a trade happens, and the circumstances can change. They almost settled at the 22 cases against Deshaun Watson four or five months ago, and they had the talked bogged down on the question of whether or not the settlement would be confidential. That means they already had a number in mind. You don't start haggling over whether or not it's going to be a secret settlement if you don't know what the settlement is going to be. That could be done at any time. And if those cases are settled when he's traded, the commissioner could look at it differently and decide to let him play. Either way, they're going to get criticized, but they're not going to make a decision until they have to.

Well, there you have it. According to Mike Florio, there is a very high chance that Deshaun Watson is on the move at some point in the next week. He says it's most likely Miami, and that Carolina had an outside chance. But as of this morning, it looks like that option is off the table:

The clock is ticking, as the NFL Trade Deadline is set for 4 PM ET on Tuesday, Nov. 2.