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College Football Betting Strategies (Week 13)

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Ladies and gentleman, we've finally made it. It's the last week of the season. I can't believe I actually stuck this out til the end. Overall this experiment has taught me nothing, other than gambling is hard, and having a good strategy isn't nearly as important as actually knowing about College Football.

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Now lets get down to business. Here were the standings heading into last week

Low Team Totals: 24-21, $157 (+1.57u)
Giant Money Line Favorites: 39-6, -$103 (-1.03u)
Move The Line Overs: 31-13-1, -$391 (-3.91u)
1st Quarter Unders: 20-25, -$901 (-9.01u)
Long Shot Parlays: 1-44, -$1,926 (-19.26u)

And here are last weeks results:

Giant Money Line Favorites: 39-6, -$103 (1.03u)

Indiana 39 @ Michigan State 21: Michigan State ML
Loss $100

Wisconsin 15 @ Nebraska 14: Wisconsin ML
Won $25

Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Texas ML
Won $28

Western Kentucky 17 @ Auburn 41: Auburn ML
Won $46

Syracuse 35 @ Wake Forest 45: Wake Forest ML
Won $26

4-1, $25 (+0.25u) this week. I should have been going with games like this all year. Games around -200/-300 instead of -1000. This puts me within striking distance of being positive money at the end of the year.

Total: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)

Move The Line Overs: 31-13-1, -$391 (-3.91u)

Ohio State 43 @ Maryland 30: Over 55
Won $32

San Diego State 34 @ New Mexico 10: Over 29
Won $30

Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Over 55
Won $32

Iowa 13 @ Minnesota 10: Over 24.5
Loss $100

Akron @ Buffalo: Over 36.5
POSTPONED

3-1, -$6 (-0.6u) this week. Had my first postponed game of the year, that's exciting. Probably good considering there was 1000 feet of snow and Buffalo and I was on the over. Although I really needed that 4th win to get in the positive. Oh well, this strategy is already a loser anyways.

Total: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)

Low Team Total Overs: 24-21, $157 (+1.57u)

San Diego State 34 @ New Mexico 10: New Mexico over 9.5
Won $70

Illinois 17 @ Michigan 19: Illinois over 10.5
Won $95

Northwestern 9 @ Purdue 17: Northwestern over 12.5
Loss $100

Boston College 0 @ Notre Dame 44: Boston College over 10.5
Loss $100

New Mexico State 14 @ Missouri 45: New Mexico State over 7.5
Won $98

3-2, $61 (+0.61u) this week. So close to having a successful strategy. Really wish I hadn't picked that snow game between Boston College and Notre Dame. But very good overall

Total: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)

1st Quarter Unders: 20-25, -$901 (-9.01u)

Navy 17 @ UCF 14: Under 12.5
1Q points 7: Won $85

UConn 17 @ Army 37: Under 9.5
1Q points 10: Loss $100

Colorado State 12 @ Air Force 24: Under 9.5
1Q points 7: Won $100

USC 48 @ UCLA 45: Under 16.5
1Q points 14: Won $105

South Florida 42 @ Tulsa 48: Under 13.5
1Q points 17: Loss $100

3-2, $90 (+0.90u) this week. Not too shabby at all. That's gotta be the first positive week in a while. The 1st Quarter totals have been flying over all year, with the exception of a crazy hot first 2 weeks. Good to get a win again.

Total: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)

Long Shot Parlays: 1-44, -$1,926 (-19.26u)

Parlay 1 (ACC)

Duke 26 @ Pittsburgh 28: Pittsburgh -7.5 
Boston College 0 @ Notre Dame 44: Over 42.5 
Miami 10 @ Clemson 40: Miami +19 
NC State 10 @ Louisville 25: NC State ML +155 
Georgia Tech 21 @ North Carolina 17: Georgia Tech +21.5

Loss $100

Parlay 2 (SEC)

Western Kentucky 17 @ Auburn 41: Auburn -5.5 
Ole Miss 27 @ Arkansas 42: Ole Miss -2.5 
Florida 24 @ Vanderbilt 31: Under 57.5
Tennessee 38 @ South Carolina 63: Under 66 
UMass 3 @ Texas A&M 20: Mass +33.5

Loss $100

Parlay 3 (Big 10)

Ohio State 43 @ Maryland 30: Ohio State -27.5 
Illinois 17 @ Michigan 19: Michigan -17.5 
Northwestern 9 @ Purdue 17: Northwestern +18.5 
Wisconsin 15 @ Nebraska 14: Under 38.5 

Iowa 13 @ Minnesota 10: Under 32.5

Loss $100

Parlay 4 (Big 12)

TCU 29 @ Baylor 28: TCU -2.5 
Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Texas -9 
Kansas State 48 @ West Virginia 31: Under 54 
Oklahoma State 13 @ Oklahoma 28: Oklahoma State +7 
Texas Tech 14 @ Iowa State 10: Texas Tech +3.5

Loss $100

Parlay 5 (PAC-12)

USC 48 @ UCLA 45: USC -2.5 
USC 48 @ UCLA 45: Over 76.5 
Colorado 7 @ Washington 54: Washington -31 
Utah 17 @ Oregon 20: Oregon ML +105 
Washington State 31 @ Arizona 20: Arizona ML +133

Loss $100

0-5, -$500 (-5.0u) this week. So fucking close on the PAC-12 parlay. Not so much on the rest. I'm going to have to hit at least 2 parlays this final week. I have faith.

Total: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)

Here are the standings heading into this final week

Low Team Total Overs: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)
Giant Money Line Favorites: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)
Move The Line Overs: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)
1st Quarter Unders: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)
Long Shot Parlays: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)

Now, for the final time of the 2022 College Football Season, let's make some picks. I'll be doing something for Bowl Season as well, but I need to change up the format to make it more interesting somehow.

 Giant Money Line Favorites: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)

Akron @ Northern Illinois: Northern Illinois ML
$100 to win $28

Iowa State @ TCU: TCU ML
$100 to win $27

Kansas @ Kansas State: Kansas State ML
$100 to win $23

Michigan @ Ohio State: Ohio State ML
$100 to win $27

Georgia State @ Marshall: Marshall ML
$100 to win $45

Move The Line Overs: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)

Pittsburgh @ Miami: Over 35.5
$100 to win $32

Purdue @ Indiana: Over 45.5
$100 to win $34

Auburn @ Alabama: Over 41
$100 to win $32

Michigan @ Ohio State: Over 47.5
$100 to win $32

Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Over 41.5
$100 to win $33

Low Team Total Overs: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)

Army @ UMass: UMass over 12.5
$100 to win $82

Utah @ Colorado: Colorado over 10.5
$100 to win $98

Auburn @ Alabama: Auburn over 13.5
$100 to win $92

New Mexico St. @ Liberty: New Mexico State over 13.5
$100 to win $92

Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Georgia Tech over 6.5
$100 to win $77

1st Quarter Unders: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)

Georgia State @ Marshall: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $95

Louisville @ Kentucky: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $91

Pittsburgh @ Miami: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $92

Minnesota @ Wisconsin: 1Q under 7.5
$100 to win $64

Illinois @ Northwestern: 1Q under 7.5
$100 to win $74

Long Shot Parlays: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)

Parlay 1 (ACC)

Wake Forest @ Duke: Wake Forest ML -157
Pittsburgh @ Miami: Pittsburgh -6.5
Louisville @ Kentucky: Kentucky ML -159
South Carolina @ Clemson: South Carolina +14.5
Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Georgia Tech +36

$100 to win $1,733

Parlay 2 (Big 10)

Nebraska @ Iowa: Under 39.5
Michigan State @ Penn State: Michigan State +19
Purdue @ Indiana: Indiana +10.5
Minnesota @ Wisconsin: Wisconsin ML -165
Michigan @ Ohio State: Ohio State -9

$100 to win $2,020

Parlay 3 (Big 12)

Kansas @ Kansas State: Kansas State -11.5
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech: Oklahoma -2
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State: Under 62.5
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State: West Virginia +8.5
Iowa State @ TCU: Iowa State +10

$100 to win $2,303

Parlay 4 (SEC)

Tennessee @ Vanderbilt: Over 64.5
Arkansas @ Missouri: Under 55.5
Florida @ Florida State: Florida +9.5
Auburn @ Alabama: Auburn +22
LSU @ Texas A&M: Texas A&M +10

$100 to win $2,441

Parlay 5 (PAC-12)

Notre Dame @ USC: Under 64
Notre Dame @ USC: Notre Dame +155
Washington @ Washington State: Over 60
Washington @ Washington State: Washington ML -125
Oregon @ Oregon State: Oregon ML -150

$100 to win $2,490