College Football Betting Strategies (Week 13)

MediaNews Group/Reading Eagle via Getty Images. Getty Images.

Ladies and gentleman, we've finally made it. It's the last week of the season. I can't believe I actually stuck this out til the end. Overall this experiment has taught me nothing, other than gambling is hard, and having a good strategy isn't nearly as important as actually knowing about College Football.

Now is the Black Friday portion of the blog where I try to sell you something. From now through Monday, Barstool Sports is offering 20% off on EVERYTHING in the Barstool Sports Store. 

For example, you can buy $1,250 worth of merchandise for only $1000. $250 worth of savings is nothing to sneeze at. You could save thousands of dollars if you would like. There is no cap on how much merch you can buy. You could literally save $20,000 if yo buy $100,000 worth of merch. Just something to consider.

Advertisement

Now lets get down to business. Here were the standings heading into last week

Low Team Totals: 24-21, $157 (+1.57u)
Giant Money Line Favorites: 39-6, -$103 (-1.03u)
Move The Line Overs: 31-13-1, -$391 (-3.91u)
1st Quarter Unders: 20-25, -$901 (-9.01u)
Long Shot Parlays: 1-44, -$1,926 (-19.26u)

And here are last weeks results:

Giant Money Line Favorites: 39-6, -$103 (1.03u)

Indiana 39 @ Michigan State 21: Michigan State ML
Loss $100

Wisconsin 15 @ Nebraska 14: Wisconsin ML
Won $25

Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Texas ML
Won $28

Western Kentucky 17 @ Auburn 41: Auburn ML
Won $46

Syracuse 35 @ Wake Forest 45: Wake Forest ML
Won $26

4-1, $25 (+0.25u) this week. I should have been going with games like this all year. Games around -200/-300 instead of -1000. This puts me within striking distance of being positive money at the end of the year.

Total: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)

Move The Line Overs: 31-13-1, -$391 (-3.91u)

Ohio State 43 @ Maryland 30: Over 55
Won $32

San Diego State 34 @ New Mexico 10: Over 29
Won $30

Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Over 55
Won $32

Iowa 13 @ Minnesota 10: Over 24.5
Loss $100

Akron @ Buffalo: Over 36.5
POSTPONED

3-1, -$6 (-0.6u) this week. Had my first postponed game of the year, that's exciting. Probably good considering there was 1000 feet of snow and Buffalo and I was on the over. Although I really needed that 4th win to get in the positive. Oh well, this strategy is already a loser anyways.

Total: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)

Low Team Total Overs: 24-21, $157 (+1.57u)

San Diego State 34 @ New Mexico 10: New Mexico over 9.5
Won $70

Illinois 17 @ Michigan 19: Illinois over 10.5
Won $95

Northwestern 9 @ Purdue 17: Northwestern over 12.5
Loss $100

Boston College 0 @ Notre Dame 44: Boston College over 10.5
Loss $100

New Mexico State 14 @ Missouri 45: New Mexico State over 7.5
Won $98

3-2, $61 (+0.61u) this week. So close to having a successful strategy. Really wish I hadn't picked that snow game between Boston College and Notre Dame. But very good overall

Total: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)

1st Quarter Unders: 20-25, -$901 (-9.01u)

Navy 17 @ UCF 14: Under 12.5
1Q points 7: Won $85

UConn 17 @ Army 37: Under 9.5
1Q points 10: Loss $100

Colorado State 12 @ Air Force 24: Under 9.5
1Q points 7: Won $100

USC 48 @ UCLA 45: Under 16.5
1Q points 14: Won $105

South Florida 42 @ Tulsa 48: Under 13.5
1Q points 17: Loss $100

3-2, $90 (+0.90u) this week. Not too shabby at all. That's gotta be the first positive week in a while. The 1st Quarter totals have been flying over all year, with the exception of a crazy hot first 2 weeks. Good to get a win again.

Total: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)

Long Shot Parlays: 1-44, -$1,926 (-19.26u)

Parlay 1 (ACC)

Duke 26 @ Pittsburgh 28: Pittsburgh -7.5 
Boston College 0 @ Notre Dame 44: Over 42.5 
Miami 10 @ Clemson 40: Miami +19 
NC State 10 @ Louisville 25: NC State ML +155 
Georgia Tech 21 @ North Carolina 17: Georgia Tech +21.5

Loss $100

Parlay 2 (SEC)

Western Kentucky 17 @ Auburn 41: Auburn -5.5 
Ole Miss 27 @ Arkansas 42: Ole Miss -2.5 
Florida 24 @ Vanderbilt 31: Under 57.5
Tennessee 38 @ South Carolina 63: Under 66 
UMass 3 @ Texas A&M 20: Mass +33.5

Loss $100

Parlay 3 (Big 10)

Ohio State 43 @ Maryland 30: Ohio State -27.5 
Illinois 17 @ Michigan 19: Michigan -17.5 
Northwestern 9 @ Purdue 17: Northwestern +18.5 
Wisconsin 15 @ Nebraska 14: Under 38.5 
Iowa 13 @ Minnesota 10: Under 32.5

Loss $100

Parlay 4 (Big 12)

TCU 29 @ Baylor 28: TCU -2.5 
Texas 55 @ Kansas 14: Texas -9 
Kansas State 48 @ West Virginia 31: Under 54 
Oklahoma State 13 @ Oklahoma 28: Oklahoma State +7 
Texas Tech 14 @ Iowa State 10: Texas Tech +3.5

Loss $100

Parlay 5 (PAC-12)

USC 48 @ UCLA 45: USC -2.5 
USC 48 @ UCLA 45: Over 76.5 
Colorado 7 @ Washington 54: Washington -31 
Utah 17 @ Oregon 20: Oregon ML +105 
Washington State 31 @ Arizona 20: Arizona ML +133

Loss $100

0-5, -$500 (-5.0u) this week. So fucking close on the PAC-12 parlay. Not so much on the rest. I'm going to have to hit at least 2 parlays this final week. I have faith.

Total: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)

Here are the standings heading into this final week

Low Team Total Overs: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)
Giant Money Line Favorites: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)
Move The Line Overs: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)
1st Quarter Unders: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)
Long Shot Parlays: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)

Now, for the final time of the 2022 College Football Season, let's make some picks. I'll be doing something for Bowl Season as well, but I need to change up the format to make it more interesting somehow.

 Giant Money Line Favorites: 43-7, -$78 (-0.78u)

Akron @ Northern Illinois: Northern Illinois ML
$100 to win $28

Iowa State @ TCU: TCU ML
$100 to win $27

Kansas @ Kansas State: Kansas State ML
$100 to win $23

Michigan @ Ohio State: Ohio State ML
$100 to win $27

Georgia State @ Marshall: Marshall ML
$100 to win $45

Move The Line Overs: 34-14-1, -$385 (-3.85u)

Pittsburgh @ Miami: Over 35.5
$100 to win $32

Purdue @ Indiana: Over 45.5
$100 to win $34

Auburn @ Alabama: Over 41
$100 to win $32

Michigan @ Ohio State: Over 47.5
$100 to win $32

Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Over 41.5
$100 to win $33

Low Team Total Overs: 27-23, $218 (+2.18u)

Army @ UMass: UMass over 12.5
$100 to win $82

Utah @ Colorado: Colorado over 10.5
$100 to win $98

Auburn @ Alabama: Auburn over 13.5
$100 to win $92

New Mexico St. @ Liberty: New Mexico State over 13.5
$100 to win $92

Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Georgia Tech over 6.5
$100 to win $77

1st Quarter Unders: 23-27, -$991 (-9.91u)

Georgia State @ Marshall: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $95

Louisville @ Kentucky: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $91

Pittsburgh @ Miami: 1Q under 9.5
$100 to win $92

Minnesota @ Wisconsin: 1Q under 7.5
$100 to win $64

Illinois @ Northwestern: 1Q under 7.5
$100 to win $74

Long Shot Parlays: 1-49, $2,426 (-24.26u)

Parlay 1 (ACC)

Wake Forest @ Duke: Wake Forest ML -157
Pittsburgh @ Miami: Pittsburgh -6.5
Louisville @ Kentucky: Kentucky ML -159
South Carolina @ Clemson: South Carolina +14.5
Georgia Tech @ Georgia: Georgia Tech +36

$100 to win $1,733

Parlay 2 (Big 10)

Nebraska @ Iowa: Under 39.5
Michigan State @ Penn State: Michigan State +19
Purdue @ Indiana: Indiana +10.5
Minnesota @ Wisconsin: Wisconsin ML -165
Michigan @ Ohio State: Ohio State -9

$100 to win $2,020

Parlay 3 (Big 12)

Kansas @ Kansas State: Kansas State -11.5
Oklahoma @ Texas Tech: Oklahoma -2
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State: Under 62.5
West Virginia @ Oklahoma State: West Virginia +8.5
Iowa State @ TCU: Iowa State +10

$100 to win $2,303

Parlay 4 (SEC)

Tennessee @ Vanderbilt: Over 64.5
Arkansas @ Missouri: Under 55.5
Florida @ Florida State: Florida +9.5
Auburn @ Alabama: Auburn +22
LSU @ Texas A&M: Texas A&M +10

$100 to win $2,441

Parlay 5 (PAC-12)

Notre Dame @ USC: Under 64
Notre Dame @ USC: Notre Dame +155
Washington @ Washington State: Over 60
Washington @ Washington State: Washington ML -125
Oregon @ Oregon State: Oregon ML -150

$100 to win $2,490

Advertisement