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Red Sox Offer To JD Martinez Has Reportedly Been Revealed, And Now We Know Why He's Willing To Hold Out Until Spring Training

Arizona Diamondbacks v Los Angeles Dodgers - Game One

Welp! Now we know why JD Martinez is willing to hold out until spring training for a better offer. It’s because his market is essentially down to the Red Sox and the Dbacks; Arizona is financially strapped and Boston’s offer isn’t anywhere close to what he was hoping to get in free agency.

If you recall, Martinez began the offseason in search of a seven-year, $210 million deal. Perhaps there was some willingness to be flexible with the years, so he came down to six, but the average annual value has always firmly been $30 million, at least. If he couldn’t get seven years, $210 million, then he likely wanted somewhere in the neighborhood of six years, $180 million.

Well, now we know that the Red Sox are coming in at around five years, $100 million, so no fucking shit he’s waiting around until somebody offers him more. He’s two years, $110 million short of his original asking price. The gap between what Martinez wanted and what the Red Sox offered is greater than the total number of dollars that Boston actually guaranteed him if he were to accept their offer.

Martinez asked for an average annual value of $30 million, and the Red Sox offered him an AAV of $20 million. For what it’s worth, FanGraphs has Martinez’s value last year at $30.6 million, $14.1 million in 2016, $39.6 million in 2015, and $30.6 million in 2014. Three out of the last four seasons, Martinez has been worth at least $30 million. That’s not to say that he’ll continue to be worth at least $30 million per season over the life of a five-year deal, but it’s not unreasonable to think that he could be in the first three years at least. If you’re Martinez, you have no choice but to tell the Red Sox to shove that offer up their ass, which it feels like he probably already has.

Reading to this point, I understand that this probably comes off as an anti-Red Sox stance, like they should probably be doing more to sign this player. In reality, that’s not how I feel at all. Again, I revert back to what my stance has been all along — don’t bid against yourselves. For all we know, that five-year, $100 million offer could be the best offer that Martinez has right now. We don’t know. The reports have been that Martinez’s suitors are down to just the Red Sox and the Diamondbacks, and I have a really hard time envisioning Arizona outbidding Boston.

I honestly don’t know how this stalemate ends. If you’re Martinez, you’re not accepting five years, $100 million, and if you’re the Red Sox, you have no reason to come up from that if nobody else has made a better offer. My best guess, unfortunately, is that another team comes in and makes a big, dumb offer that blows Boston’s out of the water for no reason, because it’s Scott Boras and he does shit like that.

On a side note, it’s crazy to think how far baseball contracts have come. Here in 2018, we now see a $100 million offer as essentially being a low ball offer. I wish I could be so good at something that someone could offer me $100 million to do it, and my response would be, “I swear to God, I’ll fucking hold out as long as I need to until you make me a serious offer.” I wish I could look at a piece of paper that guaranteed me a hundred million dollars to do something that I loved and be insulted by the gesture. What a world!