NFL Picks (Week 4)

NFL Season Record – 6-9-1
Last Week – 2-2
Mortal Lock Record -0-2-1

While we really fired off the ball with our NCAA picks this season the sledding has been much tougher in the NFL. In fact we’ve yet to post a winning week or hit a mortal lock. Last week we went 2-2 and lost our mortal lock which was the Colts -13.5 vs. Cleveland. As bad as Indy played they still had a chance to cover late, but kneeled on the ball inside the 10 yard line to end the game. We didn’t deserve to win, but it’s still a kick in the balls whenever that happens. I’ll be the first one to admit that our confidence is a bit shaken but there is nothing you can do when you’re struggling except try to fight through it. A gambling slump is like a bad cold. It’s going to last two weeks no matter what you do. Luckily for us the two weeks are over.

SD at Pats -6

Can you believe that a couple morons emailed me last week and made fun of me for picking the Pats to beat the Steelers? It’s shocking to me that people honestly believed the Pat would lose two weeks in a row considering the fact that they’ve only lost like twice in 4 years. Now the new rage for all the experts is to discuss whether the Pats will be able to overcome this latest batch of injuries. I’m confused why this is even an issue? As I’ve said a million times there are only two guys that the Patriots can’t afford to lose; Tom Brady and Bill Belichick. How many times do we have to prove this? As long as those two Hall of Famers have a pulse the Patriots are going to win. San Diego is a good cute football team, but the Pats are arguably the best team of all time. I’ll take the best team of all time vs. a good cute team everyday of the week and twice on Sundays.

The Pick – New England

Houston at Cincinnati – 9.5

The Texans are the worst team in the NFL. I know this for a fact because for the past two seasons my buddy Elio the Mush has made the Houston Texans his lock of the week. And the worse they get crushed, the more he loves them the next week. It’s like some strange psychological experiment that went bad. But because of the fact that Elio always rants and raves about how much he loves the Texans I always find myself paying close attention to their games. And they get blown out every single week. If they can stay within 10 of the Bengals that will be their best performance in years. As long as Elio keeps taking Houston, I’ll keep taking whoever they are playing against. Look for Cincinnati to continue to their march through the dregs of the NFL with another easy victory.

Mortal Lock – Bengals

Denver at Jags -4

I’m not sold on the Broncos. It’s going to take more than a fancy MNF victory over the over rated Chiefs to fool El Presidente. Denver hasn’t been good for the past 3 years, but for some reason everybody thinks they have been. Meanwhile, the Jags are on the opposite spectrum in terms of public opinion. You rarely hear anybody talk about them in the same breath as the Colts and Steelers but I don’t think they are that far behind. The fact that they aren’t fancy and don’t have guys with big mouths means you don’t hear that much about them. But the bottom line is that they are a physical football team that can punch you in the mouth and those are the types of teams I like.

The Pick – Jags

Detroit at Tampa -6.5

It’s starting to make sense why the Patriots are forced to play all the best teams in the NFL. It’s because Tampa Bay and Cincinnati are hogging all the crappy teams. The combined record of the teams these two pretenders have beaten is 5-13. And this week both the Bengals and Bucs get another joke of an opponent. The Lions are horrible. The Bucs have a legitimate shot to go undefeated if they can continue to play all their games against NFC Central teams.

The Pick – Tampa Bay